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The MASAI Trial — Testing AI-Supported Breast Screening in a Randomised Controlled Trial

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The MASAI trial (Mammography Screening with Artificial Intelligence) is a Swedish study that compared AI-supported mammography screening with the standard method in a randomised controlled trial. Led by Kristina Lång of Lund University, it announced on 2 August 2023 that its interim safety analysis had been published in The Lancet Oncology: the AI arm detected 20% more cancers (a difference that was not statistically significant) and cut radiologists' screen-reading workload by 44%. A February 2025 analysis raised the increase in detection to 29%, and the final analysis in January 2026 showed that the rate of interval cancers, the primary endpoint, was non-inferior to standard reading. Lund University describes MASAI as the first randomised controlled trial evaluating the effect of AI-supported screening.
Plenty of studies had shown AI reading mammograms before, but most were retrospective, using archived images. The Lancet Oncology paper opens by noting that retrospective studies had shown promising results but that, to the authors' knowledge, no randomised trial had yet been done.
How the trial worked
Around one million women are invited to mammography screening in Sweden each year, and each examination is read independently by two breast radiologists, known as double reading. According to Lund University, there is a workforce shortage of breast radiologists in Sweden and elsewhere that can put screening services at risk.
The trial ran at four screening sites in southwest Sweden: Malmö, Lund, Landskrona and Trelleborg. Women who received the screening invitation and did not opt out were randomised after image acquisition by the picture archiving system.
| AI-supported arm | Control arm | |
|---|---|---|
| Reading | Triaged by AI risk score: 1–9 read by one radiologist, 10 by two | Standard double reading without AI |
| Role of AI | A risk score for every examination; marks on suspicious findings for scores 8–10 | None |
| AI used | Transpara 1.7.0 from ScreenPoint Medical (Netherlands) | — |
Participants and radiographers were masked to the allocation; the radiologists reading the images were not. The key point is that the AI did not make diagnoses on its own. It redistributed radiologists' numbers and attention.
Three analyses and their results
| Published | Women | Main results |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2023 (Lancet Oncology) | 80,033 | Detection 6.1 vs 5.1 per 1,000 (ratio 1.2, 95% CI 1.0–1.5, p=0.052). False-positive rate 1.5% in both arms. 46,345 vs 83,231 screen readings, 44.3% fewer |
| Feb 2025 (Lancet Digital Health) | 105,934 | Detection 6.4 vs 5.0 per 1,000 (ratio 1.29, p=0.0021). Invasive cancers 270 vs 217; in situ 68 vs 45. No significant difference in recall or false positives. 44.2% fewer readings |
| Jan 2026 (The Lancet) | 105,934 | Interval cancers 1.55 vs 1.76 per 1,000 (ratio 0.88, 95% CI 0.65–1.18), non-inferior. Sensitivity 80.5% vs 73.8% (p=0.031); specificity 98.5% in both arms |
In 2023 the extra detection, 41 more cancers, did not reach statistical significance. That analysis was a safety check: the AI arm's detection rate cleared the pre-set lower limit of 3 per 1,000, so the trial was allowed to continue.
By 2025 the difference was clear. The extra cancers were mainly small, lymph-node-negative invasive cancers, and about half of the extra in situ cancers were high-grade, with no increase in the lowest grade. The positive predictive value of recall, the share of women called back who actually had cancer, was also higher with AI.
The final analysis's primary endpoint was interval cancer: cancer diagnosed after a normal screen and before the next scheduled round. Lång explained that interval cancers are typically more aggressive and that their frequency is a central measure of how effective a screening test is. The AI arm had 82 interval cancers and the control arm 93. The trial was designed with a 20% non-inferiority margin and showed that AI support was not worse than standard reading; but the confidence interval around the ratio of 0.88 crosses 1, so a reduction as such was not statistically established. The paper reports descriptively that the AI arm had fewer interval cancers that were invasive (75 vs 89), T2 or larger (38 vs 48) or non-luminal A (43 vs 59).
Limitations the researchers named
In Lund University's 2023 announcement Lång said: "The study was conducted on a single site in a Swedish setting. We need to see whether these promising results hold up under other conditions, for example with other radiologists or other AI algorithms." She added that other ways of using AI in screening should also be investigated prospectively.
The time saving was likewise an estimate. Assuming a radiologist reads 50 examinations an hour, Lund University calculated that reading the roughly 40,000 examinations in the AI arm took about five months less of a radiologist's time.
The researchers' interests are declared in the papers. Lång has been an advisory board member for Siemens Healthineers, and one co-author heads BreastScreen Norway at the Cancer Registry of Norway, which has a research agreement with ScreenPoint Medical, the maker of Transpara.
Finding more in situ cancers also raises the question of overdiagnosis, detecting lesions that might never have needed treatment. The 2025 paper showed that about half of the extra in situ cancers were high-grade and that the lowest grade did not increase. The extent of overdiagnosis itself was not an endpoint of the trial.
Who it affects
The people most directly affected are radiologists. Under the MASAI approach, many examinations are read by one radiologist instead of two, which Lund University framed as a way to relieve a scarce specialty. For the women being screened, Lund University says nothing noticeable changes: the examination proceeds as usual and the AI is used afterwards, when the images are read.
In January 2026 Lång said that many regions in Sweden had already started to implement AI-supported screening, with more expected to join, and that because the method is simple it would probably have an international impact. On 4 February 2025 the UK Department of Health and Social Care announced EDITH, a trial of AI in breast screening involving nearly 700,000 women at 30 sites, backed by £11 million through the National Institute for Health and Care Research. The department said that while two specialists are currently needed per mammogram, the technology enables one to do the same work safely and efficiently, and that a successful trial could free up hundreds of radiologists and other specialists; that is the department's claim.
The 2018 editorial on IDx-DR had warned that accuracy studies alone cannot show whether patients benefit. MASAI built the AI into the real screening workflow, randomised the comparison, and made interval cancer, a measure of screening effectiveness, its primary endpoint. That is the reverse of the order seen with the Epic Sepsis Model, which was externally validated only after wide use. For the wider period, see the AI timeline and the AI and society timeline.
Questions this page answers
- What is the MASAI trial?
- It is a randomised controlled trial of AI-supported mammography screening led by Lund University in Sweden. About 106,000 women were randomly assigned to screening in which AI triaged examinations and supported radiologists, or to standard reading by two radiologists. Lund University describes it as the first randomised controlled trial evaluating AI-supported screening.
- Did AI find more cancers?
- In the 2023 interim analysis the AI arm found 20% more, but the difference was not statistically significant (ratio 1.2, p=0.052). In the 2025 analysis of about 106,000 women it found 29% more (ratio 1.29, p=0.0021), without a significant increase in false positives.
- How much work did it save radiologists?
- Screen readings fell by 44.3% in the 2023 analysis and 44.2% in the 2025 analysis. Lund University estimated that reading the roughly 40,000 AI-arm examinations took about five months less radiologist time, an estimate based on 50 readings an hour.
- Did it reduce missed cancers?
- For the primary endpoint, interval cancers, the rate was 1.55 per 1,000 in the AI arm and 1.76 in the control arm, a ratio of 0.88 (95% CI 0.65–1.18). The trial was designed to test non-inferiority, which it showed, but the difference itself was not statistically significant. Sensitivity was significantly higher with AI, 80.5% versus 73.8%.
Sources
The interim safety analysis: 80,033 women, the AI triage design, detection 6.1 vs 5.1 per 1,000 (ratio 1.2, p=0.052), recall, false-positive rate, PPV, 44.3% less reading
PrimaryAI-supported mammography screening is found to be safe — Lund University, Aug 2, 2023
The university's announcement: the radiologist shortage, 20% (41) more cancers, the estimate of about five months' time saved, Lång's caveat about a single site
105,934 women, detection 6.4 vs 5.0 per 1,000 (ratio 1.29), invasive and in situ breakdown, no significant rise in false positives, 44.2% less reading
The final analysis: interval cancers 1.55 vs 1.76 per 1,000 (ratio 0.88, non-inferior), sensitivity 80.5% vs 73.8%, specificity 98.5%, conflict-of-interest declarations
PrimaryAI support in breast cancer screening: Fewer missed cancer cases — Lund University, Jan 30, 2026
Interval cancers 82 vs 93; Lång on many Swedish regions already implementing AI-supported screening
The UK EDITH trial: nearly 700,000 women, 30 sites, £11 million
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